GAMEDAY OPEN THREAD // FIVE REASONS: vs. Florida

1. Tim Tebow. Banged up or not, Tebow is one of those players who qualifies as a force of nature. He's accounted for 2,826 yards of total offense this year, including 2,228 yards passing and 598 yards rushing, and 35 touchdowns. And he's the kind of mobile quarterback that gives the South Carolina defense fits. Florida has proven this year that one critical element of the Gators' success is a big day for their signal-caller.
2. Percy Harvin. If Tim Tebow is one of Florida's Heisman candidates of the future, Percy Harvin is another. Yes, I've been obsessed with Harvin for a long time; I think he's that good a football player. He has 442 rushing yards and 714 receiving yards this year, scoring seven times overall. In short, he's the kind of player that makes Urban Meyer's defese tick.
3. Motivation. With all other factors controlled for, this might be a bigger game for Florida than it is for South Carolina. For every Gator fan you find that still regards Steve Spurrier kindly, I've found, there's another one bitter at the way he left Gainesville. That's not all. Florida has, let's face it, a much better chance of making Atlanta than South Carolina does. That's a lot of motivation.
4. Rushing defense. Florida is giving up an average of just over 105 yards a game on the ground, which will make it harder for Spurrier to get Cory Boyd and Mike Davis involved. It should be noted, though, that the Gators aren't invincible, with LSU picking up 247 yards rushing and Georgia running for 196. It should also be noted that South Carolina doesn't have Knowshon Moreno or the LSU offensive line.
5. Turnovers. Florida is has a turnover margin of +1 this year, and that's with seven fumbles lost. We all know that the South Carolina defense regards a fumble as an oddity to be observed and studied as opposed to an opportunity to be seized.

1. Urgency. It would be hard to call this the most important game of the Spurrier Era to this point. But it has to be one of the top two or three. South Carolina needs a win to prove it's still a legitimate bowl team and to revive the players' confidence in themselves and each other. These are the kinds of games we hired Steve Spurrier to win.
2. Blake Mitchell. Since being inserted into the Tennessee game, Mitchell is 58-of-96 (60.4 percent) for 654 yards with 3 TDs and an INT. Florida is giving up 241.7 ypg through the air. Think Spurrier might get Mitchell to throw the ball just a few times?
3. Passing defense. I guess. It's hard to tell at this point how good the secondary really is, since no one really needs to throw against it, and it is banged up a bit. But it's still one of the top-rated units in the country statistically, and shutting down the air attack will at least take away some of the Gators' weapons.
4. Steve Spurrier. He does always save a good game plan for Florida, beating them once and coming within the massive wingspan of Jarvis Moss from defeating the Gators in the Swamp last year. Yes, he likes to beat his old team.
5. A chip on the shoulder. The run defense might not be any better schematically and in terms of being in the right place at the right time, but you can bet their going to hit hard. Hard enough to throw Tebow off his game? One can hope.
PREDICTION: Florida 38, South Carolina 34. I'm done trying to be smarter than I was during the preseason. Florida's got the edge on this one going in.
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9 comments
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mediocrity redefined.
Please beat Clemson. Or stop the game at halftime.
by third down draw on Nov 10, 2007 11:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Please Beat Clemson
I am already predicting a blowout loss to Clemson. As much as I want the Gamecocks to beat the Tigers, our defense will not show up and theirs will. Clemson will probably finish at that point 10-2 and headed to the ACC Championship game. South Carolina finihes 6-6 and done.
by RoyIngle on Nov 11, 2007 5:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Spurrier's first 4-game losing streak since 1989
Well, I'm sorry about having to hang 51 points on you in your home stadium, but it was necessary. A 13-point lead was not enough to be absolutely sure that the win was in hand. I hope there's not resentment over a feeling of 'running up the score', which certainly did not happen.
Some observations:
- What's with fans leaving en masse with almost a whole quarter left to play? I know Florida had a large lead but SC was able to chip into it a little bit before Florida tacked on their final TD. The crowd could have helped out the home team there. I do not understand an SEC crowd leaving their team with a quarter to go?
- Our defense is playing a lot better ever since we inserted a new freshman noseguard in on defense. Not much pressure on Mitchell unless we blitzed with at least 6, but we made enough plays -- particularly tipped passes -- to stop the 'Cocks more often than not.
- Spurrier's first 4-game losing streak since his Duke days. Remember that "Star is Fading" article? Doesn't Spurrier start feeling at least a tinge of heat? Holtz had the Cocks winning 9 games in year 3, didn't he?
Not trying to push any buttons with this... might not be the best time to say it either, I suppose... hope there are no hard feelings.
by Gatorpilot on Nov 11, 2007 12:23 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Gator's Better This Time Around
The past two meetings between South Carolina and Florida, I felt that the Gamecocks controlled the game and should have been 2-0 in the matches. This time, Florida was the better team.
BTW, Gamecock fans have long been known to leave early much like LA Dodger fans come late and leave early. The traffic in Columbia is so aweful that South Carolina fans would rather hit the road than watch their team get killed. Oh the memories I have of leaving early with losses such as 59-0 to Florida State, the 63-17 thumping from Clemson, the 49-0 loss to Arkansas, the many Florida, Tennessee, and Georgia losses. Believe me, if you had to see all the killings we Gamecocks have been through you would leave to.
By year 3, Holtz did win 9 games. Granted, Holtz had a weaker scheduel.
No hard feelings, it's just a game. Life goes on and another season will come and go.
by RoyIngle on Nov 11, 2007 5:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Holtz did win 9 games in Year 3...
He also did it with short-term fixes (remember, he thought he was only going to be in Columbia for three years) and basically didn't have his heart in the game after that season. And don't forget that he lost 11 games in Year 1.
First three years under Holtz: 17-18
First three years under Spurrier: 21-15
And as Roy pointed out, Holtz had a much weaker schedule in Year 3. And he got beat even worse by Florida that year. He also managed to win just 16 games over the next three seasons.
No hard feelings. I still don't believe Spurrier's star is fading. He has himself said this isn't the best team he expects to have. That's the kind of honesty we never got from Holtz.
This season, to me, was about the defense. The defense did a good job the first part of the season against weaker teams. When it came to the part of the schedule where there were talented teams on offense, the defense couldn't stop them.
Give Spurrier another year. He had a much higher hill to climb at South Carolina than at Florida
by cocknfire on Nov 11, 2007 5:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Gamecocks Vs. Florida
What a sorry performance by the Gamecocks. Once again the South Carolina defense does not show up. 99 points in two games they have given up. I for one am predicting now that Clemson will punish South Carolina for last season's loss in Death Valley and I will go on and predict that the score will be around the 63-17 mark from the Lou Holtz era.
I am 100% behind Steve Spurrier but please Coach change the defensive coaches during the off season and get us ready to compete in 2008.
by RoyIngle on Nov 11, 2007 5:50 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
On second thought...
just end the season now.
by third down draw on Nov 11, 2007 1:25 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
leaving early
I certainly remember the hellish postgame traffic in Columbia (actually, the traffic is bad there every day, not just after games). But there's no excuse for leaving that early. If you want to leave with two minutes left after the coach has obviously thrown in the towel, that's fine, although I still don't like it. But the game wasn't yet completely decided when the crowd began to leave, and crazier things have happened than coming back from that sort of deficit. Plus, the game was nationally televised, so people all over the country got to see how undevoted Gamecock fans are. It's not good for the perception of the program and thus hurts recruiting. Who would want to play for a school where the fans don't support you if you lose? If we are ever going to truly challenge the elite teams in the conference, we have to get past this culture of losing.
by Gamecock Man on Nov 11, 2007 6:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Agreed, Gamecock Man...
by cocknfire on Nov 11, 2007 6:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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