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Reviewing Clemson / Why We Lost and Other Thoughts

First off, let's give credit where credit is due; we may hate Clemson, but you have to admit that they executed and we didn't. I’m not going to spend too much time reviewing this game, because there’s not a whole lot to say other than that we lost because of poor QB play by Chris Smelley. Granted, there were other problems, but QB play was the main one. You could say that the defense didn’t play well, but they actually came out and played hard early and gave us good field position that we couldn’t take advantage of. If we had built a lead, we would have played better defense throughout the game. Our defense basically did the same thing Auburn’s defense did last night in the second half of the Iron Bowl: they wilted under the pressure of having to do everything because the offense was so pitiful. You could say that we never established the run like we should have against a team with a poor run defense, but we actually ran the ball better than we have at other points in the season. With better QB play, we could have had something resembling a balanced offense yesterday. Poor special teams play—particularly, a holding call that gave Clemson a first down on their first punt and took away great field position for us and a blocked punt later—was a big problem, but you have to expect some things like that to happen in poor playing conditions. Plus, would we have done anything to take advantage of the good field position? Probably not. Spurrier pointed out that Jared Cook wasn’t giving a good effort, but can you blame him? Smelley has to be the only QB in the SEC who can consistently overthrow a 6’5 monster like Cook. You could blame Smelley’s play on the rain, but Cullen Harper only had minimal trouble with it.

These issues were all problems, but Smelley was the main one. His performance was truly pitiful, maybe worse than Tommy Beecher’s game earlier in the season against NC State. Smelley overthrew his receivers several times, mainly because was throwing the ball too early and his receivers couldn’t get to it. Some of his passes in traffic were truly perplexing, as there didn’t appear to be anyone on our team in sight to catch the ball. Some of these problems may have been the receivers’ fault for not running routes correctly, but is Smelley so set on getting the ball to a certain place on the field that he isn’t capable of adjusting when a play goes awry?

I defended Spurrier’s decision to go with Smelley based on what I had seen on the field the past couple of weeks, but I’ll now admit that I was wrong. Garcia should have played this game. Even if he had played poorly, he probably wouldn’t have thrown as many picks. One thing you can say for Garcia is that, unlike Smelley, he’s capable of adjusting when there’s no one open, even if that only means scrambling for a two yard gain. His scrambling would have really helped us when the receivers didn’t run routes correctly. And even if we hadn’t won, at least Garcia would have gotten some experience playing a rivalry game. The truly perplexing thing about Spurrier’s coaching yesterday was that he left Smelley in even after it became clear that Smelley was way off his game. In past games, notably NC State and Kentucky, Spurrier has been quick to pull his starter out before it was too late. Why he didn’t do that yesterday was beyond comprehension.

The question now is what this game means for the state of the program. I said before the game that this was a must-win game that would define the Spurrier era thus far. Clemson is down, we had a chance to get to eight wins and finish the year ranked, and we could rake in a good recruiting class with a solid performance. The result? Not only did we lose, but we lost in embarrassing fashion. Winning the bowl game would assuage some of the pain and might net us some momentum going into next year, but beating Clemson was much more important.

In my view, this lost is a serious indictment of the job Spurrier has done here. Should he be on the hot seat? Perhaps, although I’m not exactly ready to see him forced out. By our standards, Spurrier has been fairly successful and deserves some goodwill for that. He hasn’t had a losing record, has beaten Tennessee twice, and is the first Carolina coach to beat Florida in decades. Moreover, next year could be better if Garcia lives up to his potential. We also have a solid recruiting class in the works, although you have to wonder if we’ll retain all of the players we poached from Clemson after Bowden resigned.

Despite those positives, though, the program’s development has stalled significantly after a promising first two years. The fact that the SEC and Clemson are down this year and were ripe for the taking only serves to highlight the lack of development. Moreover, the reasons we haven’t moved forward don’t speak well for Spurrier. We got the few big wins we’ve gained over the past two years with defense. However, Spurrier coaches the offense and leaves the defense to his assistants, so does he deserve the credit for those wins when our offense has gotten progressively worse since the heady days of late 2006? Not really, I would say, although I guess one could make the argument that Spurrier’s name helps us attract talented assistants and recruits that we build the defense around.

Granted, part of the problem with the offense owes to the fact that Spurrier hasn’t yet found a QB worth his salt. Garcia (or even Aramis Hillary) might be that QB next year, so perhaps there’s reason for optimism. Some people have suggested that Spurrier should look into finding a new offensive coordinator, but I don’t think that’s the case, as Spurrier’s offense doesn’t seem to me to be outdated. We had open receivers all day yesterday against Clemson; Smelley just couldn’t get them the ball consistently. Another commonly cited problem is the offensive line, but again, they didn’t play terribly yesterday. We ran the ball better than usual and Smelley had time to throw. Spurrier might do well to consider looking into finding a new line coach, but the problems yesterday all go back to Smelley’s inability to hook up with his receivers. We can hope for better play under center next year.

All of this is to say that Spurrier shouldn’t be forced out right now but should be on the hot seat going into next year. If we can’t get to eight or nine wins next year, then I say it’s time to look into young blood like Mark Dantonio, a Carolina graduate who has Michigan State playing great football this year. If Garcia comes through, though, I see potential for major improvement next year. I should add that Garcia’s training should start right now; if Smelley starts the bowl game, then I’m officially giving up on Spurrier.

Let's hear it Garnet and Black Attack readers. Is Spurrier still the man for the job? How do you feel about the state of the program?

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I hope no Tigers are on here becasue this one exceeds their 3 sentence reading limit...

Like every other college football fan, I won’t truly be satisfied until my team goes 14-0. But considering USC’s history and the current state of things in our program, I can’t say I’m completely dissatisfied. My reasoning follows as such:

One of the things USC has suffered from over the years is a lack of continuity. There is something to be said for programs that allow a coach to establish himself over the course of a few seasons; all the while making changes to culture, attitude, and whatever else it is that coaches have an impact on. These things take time. Significant time. Carolina is not in a position, especially this year with all of the coaching vacancies, to find a better coach than Spurrier for either our long-term or short-term success. Spurrier still seems to "get it" on offense. We have receivers open throughout games and what not. Aside from his inexplicable fondness of Smelley, I can’t point too many fingers at him.

We finished the season 7-5 and bowl eligible. You can’t say that about too many USC teams. This season also makes 5 straight of bowl eligibility. I don’t put too much stock in that statistic since the twelfth regular season game was added, making it easier to become bowl eligible, but it makes a nice segue into my next point which is…

The end of next year is really the earliest that any talk of looking for a new HBC should start. In my opinion, unless a program is spinning wildly out of control, every coach deserves a minimum of five years to prove what he can do. If at the end of the ‘09 regular season our record is 5-7 or worse, it’s our obligation to find a new coach. 8-4 or better and I think we should stay with Spurrier until the timing is right for him to retire and us to poach young up-and-comer whose best years will be as a Gamecock. 6-6 or 7-5 is a toss up depending on whom we beat, how we finish, standings, et al.

As for this year, let’s wait until after the bowl game to put a final rating on the season. Depending on which bowl we go to and which team we play and whether we beat them, this could still be a good year for us. A win over Clemson would have made the season, but we just need to wait to see how things shake out. On the other hand, if our recruiting class drops out of the top 25, we lose the bowl game, and Ellis Johnson leaves, I’ll be more than willing to call this season a failure.

by The Feathered Warrior on Dec 1, 2008 2:09 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nice post...

I think what you’re saying is pretty reasonable. Maybe I was being a little harsh when I said that Spurrier should be on the hot seat going into next year. We probably should all take a deep breath and remember that this program is light years ahead of where it was 10 years ago, and the OBC has a lot to do with that. Amidst all the moaning and groaning we’re probably forgetting that 7-5 is not a truly horrible record and that a bowl win, especially if it comes over a ranked team like Michigan State or Northwestern, would really put a nice finish on the season.

Still, you just have to think we should have done better this year. The way the SEC was this year, the time was perfect for an eight or nine win season. Clemson was down and we had a chance to proclaim superiority while their program was in disarray. I just don’t think we lived up to expectations this year.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com

by Gamecock Man on Dec 1, 2008 5:30 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Spur-dog

Here’s the deal. South Carolina is not likely do better than Spurrier anytime soon and the OBC has made it clear that he’s made a pet project out of resurrecting the Gamecocks into something resembling a quality football program. He’s not quitting, and he’s not getting fired.

Here’s what’s on the hot seat: Steve Spurrier’s legacy. How often do you hear his name come up when premiere coaching jobs come open? Yes, he is still mentioned — but he is far from the marquee catch that he was in 2005 when he came to Columbia.

Spurrier will get next year, and the year after, and likely the year after that. As long as he posts winning seasons and takes the ‘Cocks to a bowl game, I believe he’s safe. But his spot in Coaching Valhalla is no longer assured.

Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

by Gatorpilot on Dec 1, 2008 10:47 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Can't argue with most of that...

I’m not sure I agree that we can’t do any better. I still think Spurrier is a great coach and probably the best football mind we have a shot at getting, but sometimes I think we’d do better to change directions and go with a younger coach. It’s not that I think Spurrier has lost the will to compete. We all know the guy has a huge ego and wants to win. However, I wonder if the players identify with him. Say what you will about Dabo and Clemson, but that guy was able to rally his troops after Bowden’s dismissal and turn them into a different football team. I wish the Gamecocks had had that kind of fire on Saturday.

To tell you the truth, though, I’m probably still just bitter about the game. I wanted a win and was served yet another humiliating loss to the Tigers and will probably get over it if we can win the Outback Bowl. Spurrier has had his rough days here, but he’s also had some successes and we should probably be happy he’s here. Plus, I can talk all I want about Spurrier needing to feel the pressure, but I doubt he’d ever lose his job unless he dipped below .500.

As far as his legacy goes, you’re probably right. I don’t think that Spurrier deserves all the media criticism he gets for how things are going here, but as he would say, it is what it is. He’s yet to have that breakthrough season and it’s going to hurt his legacy if he stays here seven or eight years and never does. Of course, if he does, people will remember him as the guy who turned South Carolina around, and that’ll be very good for his legacy.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com

by Gamecock Man on Dec 1, 2008 11:15 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Right now, I agree with you

At this point in his career, Spurrier can at best hope to win the SEC East once or twice and the SEC once, maybe twice. (Again, to be clear: THIS IS A BEST-CASE SCENARIO IF EVERYTHING GOES EXACTLY RIGHT, NOT A PREDICTION BY ANY MEANS. Even doing that would be a minor miracle, and maybe a major one.) Even if Spurrier goes on, say, a 35-18 run through this bowl game and another four years — which would be absolutely incredible, at this point — he’ll end up 63-39, a good record for any South Carolina head coach, but not exactly what he was doing at Florida.

In the future, though, South Carolina has to find its own Steve Spurrier and then keep him. That’s how nontraditional powers like Louisville (yeah, they lost Petrino, but they never had the money to keep him), Texas Tech and, yes, pre-Spurrier Florida did it.

Veteran coaches are good at building programs, but sometimes it takes a new guy with something to prove to win a championship.

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Dec 1, 2008 11:48 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Grateful USC Fan

I sense that there a strong desire for “closure” following such a failure to meet expectations as the Florida and Clemson games were. However, let’s look at these "expectations" before we move along. Tennessee, Clemson, LSU, Auburn and Michigan all had high preseason expectations, higher than USC’s and they all missed them by a greater margin than we did. Additionally, we must remember that just last year we were ranked as high as 6th in a national poll but didn’t even receive a bowl invitation.

I’d love to have long winning tradition on our side but a realistic expectation suggests that a 7-5 record should be considered a very good season at USC. Smelley, as with a several other student/athlete members of this team, missed assignments, fumbled or committed penalties at the worst possible moment, and thus did not meet the highest of our or probably their expectations.

I don’t’ think anyone wants to go back to day when records of 1-10 and 0-11 were all to close to becoming the norm. Therefore, if the program is moving in the right direction, players are not being an embarrassment by getting arrested each week and USC games continue to be a huge entertainment value then I’ll be grateful to these student/athletes that win 7 games on a SEC schedule. Of course, I’d love 9 or 10 wins in a few years but, right now, I’m feeling pretty good when compared to that of most loyal Tennessee, Clemson, LSU, Auburn or Michigan fans.

by LongtimeUSCfan on Dec 1, 2008 11:29 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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