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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

The Soft Bigotry of High Expectations

How do you know that you have a demanding fan base? When, before your second year, you face this question at your conference's annual preseason confab:

"You talked a minute ago about your goal is to get Alabama back to being a dominant program. For the Alabama fans, what's a realistic timetable? What timetable can you give them that's realistic to bring Alabama back to dominance at (a) national(ly) prominent level?"

Feedme_medium
Feed me, Saban.

If Alabama fans were ever willing to wait to return to the days when other SEC teams looked to Tuscaloosa and trembled, their patience is now running thin. But here was St. Nick, at the 2008 SEC Media Days after practically getting mobbed at the same event a year ago, trying to tamp down expectations.

"You guys use that word 'expectations' a lot," St. Nick said, as if it were somehow unreasonable for media members and the public to ponder how well his team might do in the coming season. "And I try to minimize it a lot because I think it's dangerous, because we're trying to focus on what we can do to make our team the best that it can be."

Allow C&F to editorialize a moment here. Shark attacks are dangerous. Running into the U.S. Capitol and yelling "jihad" is dangerous. Expectations for a football team are not dangerous. Not that this would be the first time St. Nick has engaged in hyperbole.

But this was time for St. Nick, amateur psychologist, to try to use Jedi mind tricks on the Alabama faithful. "You will accept seven or eight wins."

And so the season opener against the Team from the Upstate becomes what your father used to call a "character-building" experience.

"They're picked to win their league. But I think what it's going to help us do is enhance our development in terms of our identity as a team because it will certainly show us where we are in terms of how we compete against one of the best teams in the country, even though it's a first game and it's on the road."

Translation: Alabama will begin the season 0-1.

"You know, eight years ago I started out not having a lot of success either, but you have to build. And that's what we're trying to do right now, is build on positive energy and a great opportunity so that we can have success in the future."

Translation: You'll take your 7-5 regular season and you'll like it!

"But I would be more concerned about these guys focusing on being complete players and how they can contribute by being complete players rather than some goal of how many passes they catch or how many tackles they make or how many interceptions they make or something along those lines."

Translation: Shreveport's lovely in December.

St. Nick might not be the most humble man the world has ever seen, but he can also be bluntly honest, as he was when asked about Les Miles' observation that LSU wasn't the only team from Louisiana to beat the Tide.

"Well, he told the truth," St. Nick said. "He told it like it was."

Not that some of the players, at least, aren't sensitive about what happened last year. Senior center Antoine Caldwell was asked about the disappointment of going 6-6 last year.

"7-6," he corrected the reporter, who neglected to include Alabama's prestigious win in the Independence Bowl.

And Caldwell is clearly not on board with St. Nick's script.

"I'm the type person, I don't want to regret anything I do in life," he said of his decision to return for his final season. "And I feel like, if I was in an NFL training camp or playing for a team and I look back and see, 'Alabama won the SEC champinship,' I might fall out."

If Alabama doesn't do well this year, it is St. Nick who is in danger of falling out. Of favor with the fans who last year worshipped him and expect a lot more in 2008.

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Honestly...

...the idea that Alabama fans are demanding an SEC title in ‘08 or Saban will be run out of town is coming from everyone BUT Alabama fans. Maybe I just run with a more down to earth crowd, but I haven’t heard a single Alabama fan talk about how this year is the year. Most point to ‘09 or ‘10 as the year Alabama is back to having the kind of talent and depth it will take to really contend in the SEC, and we even had a poll over at RBR asking what record would indicate “sufficient progress” in year two, and the overwhelming majority was, to paraphrase the sentiment most often expressed “8-4 or 9-3, but really, so long as we win the games we’re favored in and are competitive in the ones we aren’t, then real progress has been made.”

by Todd on Jul 24, 2008 10:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I would agree to an extent

But I’m really not sure that Saban can go 9-3 this year. To do that, he has to beat three of the following: Georgia, Auburn, LSU, Clemson, Tennessee and Mississippi State. I think 8-4 is within reach, with victories over Tennessee and Mississippi State. But there’s no margin for error.

The point of the post was more a look at how Saban seems to be cranking down expectations. Whether this is a Lou Holtz-esque head fake, I don’t know. But he has to know that he’s got to get back to the top relatively quickly, and needs to make progress this year. I presume you would agree with me that 7-5 wouldn’t be considered a success…

by cocknfire on Jul 24, 2008 10:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, 7-5...

...would not be considered a success since there are at the very least 8 winnable games on the schedule.

by Todd on Jul 24, 2008 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I totall agree, C&F...

I may be wrong, but I think Bama will do well to win eight games this year. Nine or ten wins is possible, but extremely unlikely. Last year’s recruiting class was great, but it’ll take a year or two for most of that talent to really make a difference. Overall, Bama is still a good bit behind Auburn, LSU, Georgia, et al., in terms of talent, so while they might be able to pull an upset in one or two of their big games, they probably will only play the spoiler in terms of the big picture in the SEC.

This isn’t a jab at Alabama, but just my sense of their realistic potential this year. I actually think the Gamecocks are in a very similar position. Both teams are probably spoilers at best and mediocre at worst, although a confluence of best-case scenarios could possibly take them a close to the SEC Title Game. Bama, I’d say, has a better chance at the Title Game, b/c nine or ten wins might be enough in the SEC West, whereas it might not be the East as Florida and Georgia both seem poised to make serious runs at perfection. The difference between the two programs is that this is more of a do or die kind of year for the Gamecocks, who really need to hit the eight or nine win mark this year to keep any sort of momentum going into the recruiting season. Saban and Bama, on the other hand, can probably afford another six or seven win season.

Also, most Bama fans I’ve talked to actually seem pretty realistic about the season, as Todd points out. It’s some of the mainstream sports blogosphere that seems to be playing this team up a little too much.

by Gamecock Man on Jul 25, 2008 2:14 PM EDT reply actions  

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