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FIVE REASONS: Outback Bowl -- South Carolina vs. Iowa

Don't forget to visit the Open Thread for comments, observations and possible rambling by Hawkeyes fans. 

Fivereasons2008_medium

1. Shonn Greene. One of the things South Carolina needed this year was a solid and consistent running back. Iowa has that in spades in Greene, who rushed for at least 100 yards in each game the Hawkeyes played this year.


RushingReceiving
GRushYdsY/GAvgTDRecYdsY/GAvgTD
2008 - Shonn Greene 12 278 1729 144.1 6.2 17 8 49 4.1 6.1 0

The only solace here for Gamecock fans is that Greene also rushed for at least 100 yards in each of Iowa's four losses. But South Carolina has to at least slow down the running game to have any chance at a win.

2. Defense. Say what you want about South Carolina's defense, which ranked 12th in the nation in total yardage allowed -- Iowa's is also pretty good, ranked 13th in the nation in total yardage allowed. The last thing the Gamecocks offense needs is to face a tough defense ready for a big game. Again, there's some reason for optimism here: The weakest part of the Iowa defense is the pass defense. But "weakness" is a relative term. The Hawkeyes still allow just 191.3 ypg through the air.

Star-divide

3. Kirk Ferentz. His moral compass is either broken or he discarded it long ago, but Ferentz is still a pretty good football coach. He's compiled a 69-53 record at Iowa, including three ten-win seasons and has lost just one bowl game (the 2003 Sugar Bowl) by more than a TD. He's technically just 3-3 in the postseason, but Florida's 2006 Outback Bowl win was pretty shady.

4. Interceptions. One of the Iowa pass defense's strength is the pick. The Hawkeyes have 20 interceptions this season. South Carolina's 24 interceptions on offense lead the nation. If Stephen Garcia starts putting the ball up for grabs, Iowa will come up with a few interceptions, killing drives and any hope for a win.

5. Momentum. It's always best to come into your bowl game on a winning streak, and Iowa does that. The Hawkeyes have won five of their last six, including the last three. South Carolina got waxed by Florida and soundly defeated by the Team from the Upstate to close out the year.

Fivereasonswin2008_medium

1. Defense. South Carolina's best chance of winning remains having a good game on defense. Slow down Shonn Greene -- shutting him down entirely is probably too much to ask -- and force Iowa to throw the ball into one of the best secondaries in the country, and the Gamecocks have a chance of keeping the Hawkeyes from establishing an offensive rhythm. The play of the defensive line and linebackers will be critical; if Greene makes the secondary on a regular basis, the game's over.

2. Distractions. I don't care how often it's happened before or whether it's entirely true -- this is a distraction.

Cleveland Browns owner Randy Lerner isn't prepared to be turned down a second time in his quest to find a savior for his football franchise, according to a league source familiar with his effort to hire New England Patriots personnel director Scott Pioli.

According to the source, Lerner was not pleased when former Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Bill Cowher spurned his advances and so he is prepared to make what was described as a "huge" financial offer to Pioli that would include not only millions, but more importantly full control of the organization and the funds necessary to bring in Pioli's first choice as head coach, Iowa's Kirk Ferentz.

Ferentz has been rumored to be headed to the pros before and remained at Iowa. But with Lerner ready to spend millions, the occasional rumbling of discontent in ethanol country and the scent of scandal now surrounding Iowa, it might be time for Ferentz to exit. One wonders whether there's already been any discussions between Pioli or the Browns and the Iowa coach.

3. Stephen Garcia. He's at home -- though that means he probably knows all the hot spots -- and on the biggest stage of his career. For a guy who seems to like the limelight, this is it. As long as Garcia can remain sober until kickoff, he's still the best option at quarterback and will get a chance to show off his skills both ot the home crowd and a national television audience.

4. Steve Spurrier. After a rough introduction to the postseason at Duke and Florida, Spurrier is 5-3 in his last eight bowl games. He would be 6-2 if not for one of the more memorable defensive meltdowns of the Tyrone Nix Era, but that's another story. Spurrier knows as well as anyone how important this game is to South Carolina's future; he'll have a good game plan prepared. Executing it, unfortunately, falls to someone else.

5. Our game. South Carolina performs well in the Outback Bowl, defeating Ohio State in both of the Gamecocks' previous trips to Tampa. History like that doesn't mean too much -- but it's a reason for hope.

PREDICTION: The SEC has been on a roll in bowl games, and I'd love nothing more than to share Gamecock Man's optimism. But I don't. On the other hand, Iowa fans who think the Hawkeyes will roll are delusional. The Gamecocks fall in a hard-fought battle. Iowa 31, South Carolina 30

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Nice Article

I liked the preview, good job!

I have to ask though, what was meant by this?

3. Kirk Ferentz. His moral compass is either broken or he discarded it long ago,

I know Iowa has had a string of arrests with the players, but I was still under the impression that Ferentz was among the more ‘honorable’ coaches in college football (if there is such a thing as honor in a college coach).

by studbucket on Jan 1, 2009 9:24 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah...

… moral compass is broken? News to me. Under what grounds?

Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

by Gatorpilot on Jan 1, 2009 9:42 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Moral compass comment is ludicrous.

Only at Iowa would a University community have a crisis because a student was arrested for shoplifting. Most SEC teams would see that as a typical day at the U. Yes, Iowa became a school capable of recruiting five star talent and when they did get some of those players they were rewarded with characters that did not see themselves as student athletes. Ferentz is back to basics now. Letting seniors police the team.

No chance Ferentz is distracted either. He is not going anywhere. He is paid more than all but eight pro coaches (all of whome have coached in the Super Bowl), has less pressure at Iowa, his entire family is either a student at Iowa or working at the University, his career started at Iowa, he is a homer, a God in the state, and very grounded. Lock it in, he is going nowhere.

I do not see any reason why South Carolina will stay in this game. Their QB is VERY questionable as a person, a player and specifically as a major college QB. He has beaten NO ONE. Hell, even Spurrier is not sold on him based on the many comments that are nothing less than humiliating to the average college player psyche. They will be crushed in the one place they cannot afford to be crushed, the line (both sides) and that means QB pressure and then we are looking at interceptions.

In any other season South Carolina is not even in this game. They struggled against D-1AA competition. Iowa on the other hand, should be 11-1 or 10-2 but having a QB controversy early killed them. Once that figured itself out—and it should have been figured out earlier and Ferentz deserves to be criticized for it not being so—this team just got better and better. Even their worst game in the home stretch (Illinois) was a game that showed Iowa’s strength on offense, they had a fumble returned for a TD against them and allowed a very long field goal made. NO ONE outplayed Iowa all year. In every game there were Iowa mistakes that significantly determined the loss. If Iowa does not GIVE the game to South Carolina on a plaater, no shot for the cocks.

Shonn Greene may go ape shit in this game. We have not played any team with a worse D-line than SC has. LB’s cannot tackle him consistently. He will punish them.

I just don’t see SC matching Iowa’s intensity either. We played early morning games all season. This game might even be ugly.

"I want to rush for 1,000 or 1,500 yards, whichever comes first."
- George Rogers, one-time South Carolina RB

by StoopsMyAss on Jan 1, 2009 10:12 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Eighteen players cited in about a year

That from an article about the alleged cover-up of a sexual assault at Iowa. I wrote about it back when it happened, and back when BHGP (an Iowa blog) called for Ferentz and other officials to resign.

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Jan 1, 2009 11:17 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm a student at Iowa

And from what I have gathered from articles and press releases that semester, much of the blame falls on President Sally Mason and other staff and administrators.

We will never know, but at least in Iowa, Kirk has managed to absolve himself of nearly all responsibility for that unfortunate incident.

by studbucket on Jan 1, 2009 2:30 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

An independent investigation

Concluded that Ferentz and the athletic department were not guilty of covering anything up. The administration as a whole bungled it in a shameful manner, but Ferentz did what he was supposed to do as far as I can tell. As for the string of arrests, he has always made it clear that those sorts of things are unacceptable and punished them severely. If the kids still go out and fuck around knowing that, I don’t see how it’s his fault. Questioning his character is absurd.

by NorseHawk on Jan 1, 2009 9:56 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

Spurrier needs to go

This is the worst. Please send Spurrier packing. His heart is no longer in the game. At least get a coach that cares!

by gvillefan on Jan 1, 2009 2:13 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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