Gamecocks Hoops Weekly Forecast: January 18-24
South Carolina digs deeper into their SEC schedule this week, currently sitting at 12-4 overall and 1-2 in conference. The Gamecocks take on two teams at home this week: Florida on Wednesday, Ole Miss on Saturday. ESPN's bracketologist Joe Lunardi currently has Carolina eight picks outside of the tourney, and a good showing during this homestand, especially if that includes a victory over the newly ranked Gators, would go a long way towards getting us on the right side of the bubble. Let's take a look at how we stack up against Florida and Ole Miss.
Florida
The Gators come into this game with a 16-2 record overall, a perfect conference record, and are ranked 24 in the newest AP poll. Their two losses are to Syracuse and FSU. While Florida likes to run the floor and put the ball in the hands of their guards, the Gators' biggest threat to us comes in the form of their two talented forwards, Alex Tyus and Chandler Parsons. Combined, the two average over 20 ppg, and we will have trouble defending them.
Because of this, the Gators will likely get their points against us, barring a Herculean defensive performance by us or a terrible shooting night by Florida. That's not to say that it's not possible that they won't score a lot of points; they scored 55 and shot 39% in the loss to FSU, and scored 68 and shot 39% in a narrow win over Auburn. Both games, notably, were away from Gainesville, and we can hope for a little home-court advantage of our own. However, both games were also against teams that like to slow things down and play half-court defense a little more than we do, so if the Gators still score around 80, don't be surprised. With that in mind, our best chance to win this game will likely be to simply outscore Florida. Luckily, that's possible, too: Syracuse, a team that relies on a strong perimeter, jump shot offense much like our own when we're not in the fast break, beat the Gators 89-83, and if Devan Downey and Zam Fredrick can heat up, then we can do the same.
Ole Miss
While Ole Miss is playing a little better than some expected they would after they lost Chris Warren to injury and had to begin going through the drama surrounding Andy Kennedy, this is still a team with seven losses, that lacks its best player, and that just lost by almost 30 to LSU on its own court. This is a game we should win, perhaps by a fairly large margin. Ole Miss relies on its guards on offense and plays a smaller lineup than Florida or LSU, so we should be able to get them to play our game and we won't have to worry about matchup problems down low. As long as we don't play sloppy, make our shots, and keep David Huertas from heating up, I say we can take the Rebels with ease.
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Florida Basketball
Off to a great start record-wise, but we don’t exactly look like a powerhouse in reality. We shoot way too many threes and when we aren’t hitting them, we are very vulnerable. Make no mistake though, we live and die by the play of sophomore PG Nick Calathes. He is the real deal and makes everyone around him look better. Freshman Ervin Walker, a micro-sized point guard, has really come on lately. He’s a baller from Brooklyn, so he’s got some skills and can shoot too. That is important for us, because typically, when Calathes comes out, we look terrible.
Looking forward to a good one tonight!
What I meant to say about Tyus and Parsons...
Is that, even if they haven’t been world-beaters this year, we’ll make them look good with bad front-court D. I hope I’m wrong about that, b/c if we can force you guys into your typical perimeter game, I like our chances better, especially considering that your shots might not fall as often in a hostile Columbia environment. In any case, good luck and let’s hope for a good one tonight.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com
by Gamecock Man on Jan 21, 2009 5:12 PM EST up reply actions
Exciting first half...
Very evenly played, as the score indicates. Both teams played a little sloppy at times, but both have shot fairly well. Should be a good second half. Hopefully Calathes’s hot hand will cool off.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com
Nice win
I am still angry that we missed key free throws which could have sealed a win, but you had the same issue and were able to overcome it and earn a W.
Was anyone else surprised to see Warner just let your player shoot an uncontested layup to win the game at the buzzer? I would have thought a guy his size would try to block or alter the shot or perhaps even foul him, given that yall were struggling from the line all night. Chances are, he might miss one and we go to overtime.
Oh well – good game.
Yeah, he got caught off his guard. He was back there to keep that play from happening but got caught sleeping...
Still, it was a nice pass by Holmes. You have to admit that.
Anyways, looking forward to Gainesville in a few weeks.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com
by Gamecock Man on Jan 22, 2009 12:25 PM EST up reply actions
Great pass without a doubt
You may want to let Spurrier look at that kid if he has any eligablility left~
I think Donovan dropped the ball too. Shouldn’t we have had 3 guys back there?
Yeah, Donovan had one guy on Fredrick, and that guy got beat...
But if Donovan had had another guy defending the paint, that would have forced Fredrick to take an off-balance shot at the free throw line instead of taking the easy lay in. When I played basketball in high school, that’s what we did in situations like that, where the other team’s only hope was the kind of Hail Mary we ran.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans. http://www.garnetandblackattack.com
by Gamecock Man on Jan 24, 2009 11:29 AM EST up reply actions

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