Previewing Kentucky at South Carolina: Three Keys, Fun Fact, and Prediction
Time to extend the streak to ten. Here are my thoughts on the game.
Three Keys
1. Pick Apart Kentucky's Zone
With their two starting corners out, Kentucky will likely rely on their safeties to help out in pass coverage. That should leave us some room to run the ball and pass it to the backs and TE in the middle of the field. The key to offensive success will to take advantage of these weaknesses. That will help us move the ball consistently, if slowly, and may force Kentucky to move the safeties into the box, at which point we can try to beat the young corners. What we don't want to do is try too hard for big plays to the receivers while Kentucky is in a zone. We wouldn't then be taking advantage of what they're giving us, and it would likely lead to turnovers as we throw into coverage. Stephen Garcia and crew have done well in this sense so far, so Kentucky's plight should equal lots of offense for us.
2. Get in the Backfield
Kentucky has an experienced, better-than-average offensive line. South Carolina has a stout run defense and two of the best pass rushers in the country. Who wins the battle? The answer to that question will go a long way towards seeing how many points Kentucky can score. If the 'Cats can run the ball, they'll do well on offense. If they can't, they'll end up throwing a lot. That's not good for them, considering who they have under center. If Eric Norwood and Cliff Matthews can get in Mike Hartline's face when they do throw, it'll be all the better for us.
3. Kickoff Coverage
Kentucky's secret weapon in this game is going to be Derrick Locke on kickoff returns. We need to be very careful kicking to him, as his breakaway ability could negate our sizeable advantage in other aspects of the game.
Fun Fact
Back in 1999, a writer for a Kentucky paper claimed that we shouldn't be in the SEC. How's that working out for ya? (BTW, if anyone has a link to this article, please post. I couldn't find it.)
Prediction
A lot of Carolina fans and experts are predicting a blowout in this game. I'm not so sure. I think we're a better team than Kentucky, but I also think their run and kickoff games stand to give us fits. However, I think we stand to move the ball fairly well, and we should be able to wear their defense out by the fourth quarter. Kentucky, on the other hand, will have more trouble moving it consistently against us, and eventually you can expect Hartline to do something foolish. I say the game will be close for most of the day but that we'll pull away late. 24-13 Carolina.
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thinking...
gamecocks by the score of 27-17.
agree with you that it may not be so pretty and could be close….hope you and I are wrong.
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by Flounder on Oct 9, 2009 7:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I sense a lot of worries from some quarters over this game
and I don’t get it at all.
There’s an obvious reason we’ve beaten Kentucky nine years in a row: we have better players than they do. Two obvious metrics are recruiting rankings and NFL players produced, and South Carolina has a huge edge in both.
Rivals Rankings (5*, 4* in the class)
USC UK
2006 24 (0, 6) 36 (0, 3)
2007 6 (1,14) 54 (0, 1) UK finished between Northwestern and Southern Miss
2008 22 (0, 6) 57 (0, 1) between UCF and Wake Forest
2009 12 (0, 14) 41 (0,3)
Avg: 16 47
(5*, 4*) 1, 40 0, 8
Those recruiting rankings translate into three times as many current NFL players for Carolina (21) as Kentucky (7).
With such a clear talent disparity and Kentucky playing without both starting corners (one of whom is the rare Wildcat destined for the NFL), the only way we should lose is if we beat ourselves with turnovers.
Garcia’s obvious progress has eased my worries there. For the first time since Phil Petty was taking snaps, I am not worried about a Carolina team handing out turnovers left and right. We may let them hang around through the first half, but I think we pull away in the second and win with relative ease.
by GwinnettGamecock on Oct 9, 2009 8:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You have a point about the turnovers...
I was going to say, wait, how can you say that we’re going to beat them down when they’ve played us close so many times? But you’re right; even last year, they wouldn’t have stayed close with us if we had only limited the turnovers in the first half.
Still, though, I think this game may be tougher than it should be. We’ll see.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.
by Gamecock Man on Oct 10, 2009 12:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To elaborate: I'll believe we can step on an inferior team's neck when I see it. I hope to see it today.
Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.
by Gamecock Man on Oct 10, 2009 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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