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Post-Spring Previews: Tennessee Volunteers

After hosting Vanderbilt the week before, the Gamecocks travel to Knoxville to take on Lane Kiffin's Tennessee Volunteers. (Remember last time we went there? Yeah, I didn't want to think about that, either. I'd rather remember blowing them out last year. It's still hard to believe that happened. And perhaps even harder to believe that it didn't seem to mean very much.) The Vols, in my estimation, are one of the hardest teams to call this year. For one thing, of course, they have a brand new coaching staff. Personally, I tend to believe that there are lots of indications that Kifin and company, for all their strange antics, will be at least mildly successful in Knoxville. Why not? Kiffin has put together an all-star cast of coaches and managed to bring in a very impressive recruiting class with limited time. Will it be enough to get back to late-90s / early-2000s levels? That's still to be seen. However, I don't see many more 5-7 seasons in store for the Vols. The turnaround may not come immediately, though.

The new coaching staff isn't the only reason this team confuses me. The 2008 version, quite frankly, looked better on paper than it played on the field. Hell, Jonathan Crompton, one of the centers of criticism, was once considered one of the best prep quarterbacks in the country and a sure-fire bluechip prospect. Were the problems the program encountered last year simply owing to misuse of talent by Phil Fulmer and his staff (notably maligned offensive coordinator David Clawson), or were there deeper talent-evaluation issues involved? Perhaps we'll find out this year.

All of this is to say that you can take these comparisons with a grain of salt. I have no idea how good the Vols will be this year, but the following is an indication of how good I think they will be based on somewhat confusing evidence. Let's take a look at the offense first.

Offense

The Vols aim to go back to a more traditional offense after the failed experiment with Dave Clawson's offensive "system" this past season. That should work well for the Vols, who have a backfield built for success running the ball. The passing game, though, still has some questions, as the Vols return embattled quarterbacks Jonathan Crompton and Nick Stephens and an unproven if talented receiving corps.

Quarterbacks

After having a good spring, Jonathan Crompton appears to be ready to take the starting role he lost midway through last year. Needless to say, 2008 was a disaster for Crompton. He threw for an abysmal 98.13 rating, more INTs than TDs, and he generally looked lost in a number of notable games, such as when he went 8-23 in an offensive clunk-fest loss against Auburn. Crompton did redeem himself somewhat in the season finale against Kentucky. Talent is not the issue for Crompton, who was once one of the nation's most highly sought  recruits and who has shown flashes of brilliance at times in his career. Crompton has a cannon of an arm, and you can expect to see the Vols use that to their advantage by occasionally going deep. If Crompton fails, expect for the Vols to go back to Nick Stephens, who was somewhat effective at times in Crompton's relief midway through last year. Some previews I've seeen think Stephens is the guy the Vols should go with, but I'd have to disagree. I'd have to imagine that Vols fans are hoping the Mountain Messiah comes through; Crompton appears to be the better player, and the fact that Stephens didn't really play better than Crompton suggests that the problem may have been as much the system as the players, which would in turn suggest that Crompton might be able to show off his considerable skills if he gets in the right system.

I'm going to give Stephen Garcia the slightest of edges in this one. Garcia had a slightly better 2008 than Crompton. However, although the two have different skill sets, they both had similar 2008s: lots of promise followed by lots of disappointment. It will be interesting to see what kind of year these two are having when the game rolls around; my guess is that both will surprise and be in the top half of the quarterbacks in the SEC. It is worth noting that the Vols, who project to have a strong running game and problems at receiver, will probably try to pound the ball most of the time. Even still, I expect Crompton be much better statistically this year.

Verdict: Slight advantage South Carolina

Running Backs

The Vols finished 88th in the nation in rushing offense last season, good for ninth in the SEC. That's not going to happen again. Arian Foster is gone, but the Vols have a solid group of experienced backs, including Montario Hardesty and Taureen Poole. However, the big names in this group are the newcomers: Bryce Brown, 2009's top prep prospect by most measures, and David Oku, a top multi-purpose back. These two could form an impressive thunder and lightening duo for years to come. (Actually, it doesn't really make sense to call Brown "thunder" considering that he can really do just about anything--he's 219 and runs a 4.4.) All in all, the Vols have a lot of options in the backfield. If Brown and Oku can learn to produce quickly--and that is an "if" when it comes to freshmen--this could be one of the best backfields in the conference.

I give Tennessee a slight to strong advantage here. Neither of these teams had great running games last year, but both recruited some good players in their recruiting classes and should be much better this year. The Vols, though, brought in the biggest fish of them all in Brown, who, athletically at least, looks like the prototype of the classic SEC back. Tennessee could very well have a Bo Jackson- / Herschel Walker-type on their hands.

Verdict: Slight to Strong advantage Tennessee

Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

Wide receiver was another sore spot for the Tennessee offense last year. Tennessee graduates top receiver Lucas Taylor and hopes that Gerald Jones, who caught for over 300 yards a year ago, can step up and become the go-to guy. Jones is very talented and could be poised for a breakout year. The Vols hope that Denarius Moore can be the deep-ball threat. (Moore will be out early in the season but should be back for our game.) Austin Rogers, who was supposed to be part of the rotation, is out for the year with a knee injury. It's also possible that star recruit Nu'Keese Richardson might see time on the field, but Richardson's small stature may prohibit him from making an impact until he puts on some weight.

I give us a slight advantage here. Both teams are looking for identity at receiver, but Jason Barnes, Moe Brown, Dion LeCorn, and Weslye Saunders have shown a bit more than UT's group.

Verdict: Slight advantage South Carolina

Offensive Line

Tennessee needs better play out of its line if it wants to take advantage of all the talent in the backfield. The interior looks solid with Jacques McClendon and Vlad Richard at guards and Josh McNeil at center. However, tackle is a bigger question mark, with uncertainty at both positions. The left tackle will be either Chris Scott or Dallas Thomas. I have no idea who the right tackle will be.

This is a push. Both teams are looking for better line play and will probably get it, but question marks linger. Both teams also have to be worrying about injuries that could reveal depth issues.

Verdict: Push

Let's look at the defense after the jump.

Star-divide

Defense

While I'd say we overall look a bit better on offense than the Vols, they may have the advantage over us on defense. Moreover, Kiffin brings in his pops Monte, one of the NFL's all-time great defensive coordinators. The Vols will run Kiffin senior's famed 4-3 Tampa 2 defense. (The meeting between Kiffin senior and Ellis Johnson will certainly be a battle between two of the SEC's best defensive minds.) Despite the atrocious record, Tennessee's defense was very good last year, and it will probably be good this year despite losing some star power at line and linebacker.

Defensive Line

Tennessee graduates star end Robert Ayers to the NFL. However, this should still be a very good unit for Tennessee. The Vols have two speedy ends in Chris Walker and Ben Martin, both of whom will rack up a number of sacks this year. They also have depth at the position, so expect to see frequent rotation to keep everyone fresh. There's some concern about the effectiveness of the inside linemen; Dan Williams appears to be a solid, but Wes Brown looks a little small for the position. Kiffin is high on freshman Montori Hughes, who may take Brown's spot sooner than later.

I'm going to call this a push. Defensive line should be our strength on defense this year, and I think our starters may be a little better and more seasoned than UT's. However, the Vols have depth on their side, whereas we could be in trouble by this point in the season if we have multiple guys go down.

Verdict: Push

Linebackers

The Vols have one of the conference's better outside linebackers in Rico McCoy. After McCoy, though, they have some more question marks. Nick Reveiz, LaMarcus Thompson, Savion Frazier, and a group of freshmen will likely fill the other positions. This group has the talent to be good but has a lot to prove.

I give us a slight advantage here. We have an All-SEC linebacker in Eric Norwood, an experienced talent in Rodney Paulk, and a group of younger guys that at least have some experience. The Vols, while talented, will have to hope their guys can grow up really fast.

Verdict: Slight advantage South Carolina

Secondary

Tennessee boasts the nation's best safety in Eric Berry. Hell, Berry might very well be the best defensive player in the country, period. He's getting some Heisman hype, a rarity for a defensive player. Berry can do it all; he can knock you silly with a bone-rattling hit, he can come down with a tough interception and then take it to the house, whatever you want. He's essentially a one-man wrecking crew. What's more, Berry has been vocal about believing that his skills will be maximized in Monte Kiffin's Tampa 2 scheme. I don't doubt he's right; this guy knows when to be confident. Highly regarded freshman Darren Myles appears to be the other starter at safety. Tennessee will start Dennis Rogan at one of the corners but is uncertain about the other. However, they have plenty of talented options. This should be a good secondary once the coaching staff figures out how to work the rotation.

Strong advantage Tennessee here. I have serious doubts about our secondary this year (although signing Darrell Givens would ease those a bit). While Tennessee does have some questions of their own, they're mostly the "good" sort of questions: too much talent to know what to do with. And Eric Berry just scares me. You never know when he's going to take one of your guys out of the game or pull in a pick six.

Verdict: Strong advantage Tennessee

Special Teams

Junior Daniel Lincoln returns hoping to improve on his 2008 campaign. Lincoln was one of the conference's best kickers in 2007 (Gamecocks fans know this) but struggled last year. Star punter Britton Colquitt graduates, but Chad Cunningham played well while Colquitt was injured last year and should be a serviceable replacement. The coverage units look solid. The Vols have a number of potential contributors in the return game. Dennis Rogan was a good kickoff returner last year, and freshmen David Oku and Nu'Keese Richardson have the speed to play right away as well.

I'll give the Vols a slight advantage here. Lincoln, who along with Auburn's Wes Byrum stangely got much worse in 2008 after stellar freshmen campaigns, is a cause for concern. However, we also have questions in that department with Ryan Succop gone, and the Vols' talent in the return game is scary.

Verdict: Slight advantage Tennessee

Head Coaches

How good can Lane Kiffin be in the SEC? That's the question that's on many minds around the SEC coming into this year. While some are predicting Kiffin will either achieve great success right away or will bust, I think we'll see something in between for the Vols this year. While the true believers on Rocky Top might not be happy with an eight-win season, in actuality that would be a success for this team. The problem, of course, is that the Vols don't project to have the kind of passing game they'll need to compete with Florida and 'Bama this year. That's not Kiffin's fault, though; if he can get this team on the right track, the quality skill-position players will come. I think Kiffin is capable of getting those eight or nine wins, and if he does that, he'll have proven that he has the potential to bring Tennessee back to the conference's upper echelon. He's already proven that he can do two important things: recruit and compete in the brutal SEC assistant-coaches arms race.

That said, though, Kiffin has yet to prove that he can do those things. Steve Spurrier, on the other hand, has, even if his star has been fading a bit over the past couple of years.

Verdict: Slight advantage South Carolina

Overall

These are fairly evenly matched teams, a notion confirmed by the fact that most previews I've looked at see both teams going anywhere between 5-7 to 9-3. This game, of course, is one of the toss ups the previews point to. A lot is going to come down to how far along both teams have gotten in terms of answering the questions on offense. Injuries could also be a problem for both teams; offensive injuries in general could devastate Tennessee, whereas injuries to (heaven forbid) Garcia or someone in the secondary could be rough for us. All of this points to a game that's almost impossible to call right now. One thing I do like is that our strengths would seem to play to theirs; we project to have a strong rushing defense this year, they plan to run the ball, we'll probably run more than in years past, whereas their defensive strengths are in the secondary. I'm going to go with a close Carolina victory here, but again, I'm not sure about this one. Tennessee is a wild card; they could be a team that's average, or they could end up being a nine-or-so win team. We'll have to wait and see.

Prediction: Three-point victory USC

Poll
The Tennessee game will be a...
Blowout USC victory
19 votes
Close USC victory
52 votes
Close UT victory
31 votes
Blowout UT victory
26 votes

128 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

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Can't complain about any of that.

I would like to mention a couple things, UT-wise:

One, I’m leery of the linebackers we have. The Tampa-2 places a lot of burden on the linebackers, and I’m not sure yet that our guys are ready for that kind of a load. We might not run as much T-2 as Monte would like this year. But I don’t know.

Two, special teams were a serious problem for UT last year. Cunningham had a problem getting the ball away quickly; he has been working on that pretty hard, but we’ll have to wait until he, you know, punts before we have a clue on that. Also, Lincoln was a bit of a head case. The big thing we have now is a dedicated special teams coach (Eddie Gran), which is something UT didn’t have before. Watch the UT-Florida game for all your special teams questions. Seriously.

Three, you’re braver on rating coaches than me. I would have taken that off the table entirely and left only the discussion. We have not a clue on how it’ll work. But we’re really excited to find out. :)

Four, with depth a concern for both teams, the bye week that UT has 2 weeks prior might be a godsend. USC doesn’t have a bye until November 21, and that’s well after the UT game. I would think that has to benefit UT, if only for the slightly reduced risk of injury problems.

by Hooper on Jul 31, 2009 9:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Thans for sharing. Those are all good points...

Now that you mention it, I did watch UT-Florida and remember the special teams problems. Of course, Florida put pressure on punters and Brandon James returned the ball well all year, so I don’t know how much of a good measure that game really was. The other game I watched some of (other than UT-USC) was the UT-Auburn, which I mainly remember as an almost unbearably ugly game for the offenses.

That’s a great point about the bye weeks. I know that Spurrier has been really unhappy with how that’s worked out the last two years.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.

by Gamecock Man on Jul 31, 2009 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

"almost"? ;-)

I think the Auburn game was the official end of the Clawfense. No matter if Fulmer had been fired, I do believe Clawson would have been dismissed. Either that, or the Orange faithful would have stormed Mt. Neyland. With pitchforks. And torches. And moonshine. Lots and lots of moonshine.

I’m not as concerned about UT’s return game; even last year, it was pretty good. It’s the kicking side that’s been broken. If it weren’t for the Colquitt Punting Factory, this would have been a serious issue a long time ago.

by Hooper on Jul 31, 2009 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

:-)

Polling on these previews when I link to other SBN sites is asking for trouble.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.

by Gamecock Man on Jul 31, 2009 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

True, actually.

The last couple of years, UT fans have clearly not been optimists. Just ask Fulmer.

by Hooper on Aug 1, 2009 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

As far as our quarterbacks go,

I really believe Kiffin’s being honest about having a QB competition when practices start next week. Nick Stephens broke his wrist on the first day of spring practices and wasn’t able to compete then; he’ll get a legitimate shot because Kiffin can’t afford to not figure out who the best option is. Besides, having a competition gave both Crompton and Stephens some motivation to work hard in the summer.

That said, I think it’ll be Crompton. Like you said, he’s immensely talented. He also seems far happier right now than at this time last year. I’m hoping he redeems himself this year; as much as he’s had to endure, I’d like him to be able to walk away with his head high.

by Hooper on Jul 31, 2009 11:34 PM EDT reply actions  

I was wondering how serious the talk about Stephens was...

So thanks for clearing that up.

What does the average UT fan think about Crompton? He seems like a great player. He also seems to be able to get fired up at times, like he could be a leader if he could play better. But I’ve also heard he isn’t exactly Peyton when it comes to being a student of the game. Of course, maybe that’s just that the coaches didn’t give him enough time to move gently from Cutcliffe’s style into the Clawfense?

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.

by Gamecock Man on Jul 31, 2009 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Feelings are mixed.

On one hand, there are a lot of fans who have cemented their opinion of him based on last year. The other end of the spectrum are those who think this year should be judged in a vacuum, assuming he starts. (I’m in the latter, fwiw.) We all expect things to be better, but that’s about where things end.

I don’t know about his studentiosity of the game, but I think he’s been working pretty hard over the summer. I do know that the Clawfense was a 2-year project. (Well, that’s what they told the players; why they didn’t tell the rest of us that, I don’t know.) So yes, last year was too early.

Crompton may be the biggest question in our minds entering the season. Until we see what he’s like apart from the Clawful, we won’t know how much blame to assign where from last season. (Hope that made sense.)

by Hooper on Aug 1, 2009 9:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

The Clawfense sounds really complex...

I would imagine it would be hard for any quarterback without at least two or three years in the system to master it.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.

by Gamecock Man on Aug 1, 2009 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

From what I understand..

Clawson was showing them film of what his offense looked like the first year of implementation at Richmond and then in the second year. Apparently its much better in the second year of installment, but we never got to see that. From what I know about it is it basically requires every position to make pre-snap reads and all be on the same page in making those adjustments. So telling 11 guys to think the exact same thing based on what the defense looks like and get the timing and confidence right to execute… with college practice limits… you’re asking for trouble in year one.

Everything we hear about this year is a 180. Players are very excited about the new system, and its ease of execution. Thats something we didn’t hear at all last offseason.

Good assessment overall, I agree with hoopers points on the special teams, and I think our depth on the d-line is more of a concern than you may think. After our first unit, minus Montori Hughes its a collective “huh?”.

Also, speaking of the d-line, friendly edit… Chris Martin and Ben Walker should be Chris Walker and Ben Martin.

"The man who complains about the way the ball bounces is likely to be the one who dropped it."

by Getoffmyvols on Aug 1, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's an interesting offensive philosophy...

in that it requires the players to do the thinking on their feet. You can see how it would work well if executed effectively. Most coaches adhere to one system or another, allowing defensive coaches to prepare with film. Smart quarterbacks can then adjust to those preparations through audibles and the like, but usually within prescribed limits, such as switching to a slant or a pitch outside to the tailback if you see blitz and so on. The Clawfense gives the offense more leeway to make those sorts of adjustments, thus neutralizing defensive preparations. Would have been interesting to see how it would have worked at a place with talent like Tennessee if he had gotten time to implement it properly.

Garnet and Black Attack: A Blog by and for Gamecocks Fans.

by Gamecock Man on Aug 1, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Correct, in theory it sounds like a great scheme.

It just requires so much thinking that even the simplest of plays get overcomplicated with all the thinking that goes on at the line.

Poster play in my mind of the system last year was UCLA, Jonathan Crompton drops back to pass, Arian Foster runs forward expecting a handoff, the two collide and fall for a loss of a couple yards.

"The man who complains about the way the ball bounces is likely to be the one who dropped it."

by Getoffmyvols on Aug 1, 2009 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bingo.

It’s a two-year rebuild to master the Clawfense. If they had told us about it prior to the season, it might have saved Fulmer’s job. Without knowing that, the patience was certainly not there.

The one element that seems to make it install faster is having a seasoned starting quarterback in place. I can’t remember which school had that happen (Furman?), but the installation completed within a year. The quarterback has to do more thinking than anybody else in the Clawfense, so if the guy is learning what it’s like to be a starter at the same time, he’s in for a long haul.

I hope Clawson does well at Bowling Green, but they’ll have to be more patient than we were.

by Hooper on Aug 1, 2009 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crompton's situation reminds me a lot of Eric Ainge.

Ainge was vilified by Vol fans after (and during) the 2005 season, but in 2006, under Cutcliffe, his performance (and reputation) improved dramatically. I hope that Crompton undergoes a similar transformation, for a couple of reasons: selfishly, better QB play will help us tremendously, and somewhat more altruistically, I’d like Crompton to be able to have a good season to rub in the noses of some of our more outspoken “fans”, most of whom didn’t care one bit for the Vols until the 98 championship. Grr, ok, rant off.

Tangentially, I’ve always held the Gamecocks in high regard since y’all came in the league – Taneyhill was always fun to watch, your head coaches of late have been wonderfully entertaining – you deserve more success than you get. Good luck this season.

by danmarcel on Aug 2, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Clawfense at Tennessee

Didn’t it occur to someone that an offense that requires everyone to read the defense and make the right pre-snap adjustment might not work too well in a BCS conference? I’d imagine it’s much easier to find players for that system at Richmond or Furman than Tennessee or Ohio State.

All you have to do is look at the combine Wonderlic results each year to realize some of our favorite players ain’t so good with the think-muscle.

by GwinnettGamecock on Aug 1, 2009 5:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Very good summary.

But there are so many unknowns. Were Crompton’s struggles due to the Clawfense or the fact that he’s not as good as we hope? Ditto the running game, offensive line, etc. I don’t know now, but I have a feeling we’ll have a pretty good idea before this game is played.

by danmarcel on Aug 2, 2009 3:16 PM EDT reply actions  

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