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Around SBN: Yu Darvish Diagnosed With Mariners Fever

Capital One Bowl Probabilities


Accuscore result probabilities are in. As you may know, these results are determined after 10,000 simulations. So here it goes:

USC averaging 25.9 pts, NEB 20.2 pts. USC with 63.9% chance of victory compared with 36.1% for NEB.

USC with 40.6% chance of >10 points margin of victory (big win), and 10.9% chance of <5 points margin of victory.

NEB with 17.6% chance of "big win" and 10.6% chance of winning a squeaker.

The results also have Shaw passing for 175+ yards with a QB rating of 113, but show no rushing stats for him whatsoever, which is a monumental oversight. He may very well end up being our leading rusher. Still, the simulations have us averaging 300 yards on offense.

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I don't like

these odds.

therefore, they must be wrong. :)

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!

cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Dec 29, 2011 12:08 PM EST reply actions  

Very interesting.

Thanks for posting.

Dum spiro spero - "While I breathe, I hope"
State motto of South Carolina

by The Feathered Warrior on Dec 29, 2011 3:55 PM EST reply actions  

This is equivalent to

ESPN running simulations using Madden footbal, or whatever video game. This means squat, interesting, but still squat.

I like our chances for this bowl game for many reasons but mainly Conner Shaw is behind center and not Garcia. Pretty sure that Shaw will not have visitors to his hotel room the night before the game.

Go Cocks and good luck Nebraska.

by wilmywoodcock on Dec 29, 2011 8:26 PM EST reply actions  

"This means squat, interesting, but still squat."

I thought that particular point was kinda obvious. :)

It’s just a simulation and a stimulation of a talking point, maybe.

Braves.
Falcons.
Gamecocks.

by walknbalk on Dec 30, 2011 12:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Yep

These sort of simulations make me nervous, especially when they are in our favor so I tend to look the other way.

by wilmywoodcock on Dec 30, 2011 4:07 PM EST up reply actions  

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