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Capital One Bowl Probabilities


Accuscore result probabilities are in. As you may know, these results are determined after 10,000 simulations. So here it goes:

USC averaging 25.9 pts, NEB 20.2 pts. USC with 63.9% chance of victory compared with 36.1% for NEB.

USC with 40.6% chance of >10 points margin of victory (big win), and 10.9% chance of <5 points margin of victory.

NEB with 17.6% chance of "big win" and 10.6% chance of winning a squeaker.

The results also have Shaw passing for 175+ yards with a QB rating of 113, but show no rushing stats for him whatsoever, which is a monumental oversight. He may very well end up being our leading rusher. Still, the simulations have us averaging 300 yards on offense.

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