Capital One Bowl Probabilities

by walknbalk on Dec 28, 2011 11:51 PM EST

Accuscore result probabilities are in. As you may know, these results are determined after 10,000 simulations. So here it goes:

USC averaging 25.9 pts, NEB 20.2 pts. USC with 63.9% chance of victory compared with 36.1% for NEB.

USC with 40.6% chance of >10 points margin of victory (big win), and 10.9% chance of <5 points margin of victory.

NEB with 17.6% chance of "big win" and 10.6% chance of winning a squeaker.

The results also have Shaw passing for 175+ yards with a QB rating of 113, but show no rushing stats for him whatsoever, which is a monumental oversight. He may very well end up being our leading rusher. Still, the simulations have us averaging 300 yards on offense.

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Comments

I don't like

these odds.

therefore, they must be wrong. :)

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
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by Jon Johnston on Dec 29, 2011 12:08 PM EST reply actions

haha, I often use that logic myself!

Braves.
Falcons.
Gamecocks.

by walknbalk on Dec 29, 2011 1:56 PM EST up reply actions

Very interesting.

Thanks for posting.

Dum spiro spero - "While I breathe, I hope"
State motto of South Carolina

by The Feathered Warrior on Dec 29, 2011 3:55 PM EST reply actions

This is equivalent to

ESPN running simulations using Madden footbal, or whatever video game. This means squat, interesting, but still squat.

I like our chances for this bowl game for many reasons but mainly Conner Shaw is behind center and not Garcia. Pretty sure that Shaw will not have visitors to his hotel room the night before the game.

Go Cocks and good luck Nebraska.

by wilmywoodcock on Dec 29, 2011 8:26 PM EST reply actions