Fun With Roster Management: Numbers Crunch, Part 3
When I last wrote about the roster management acrobatics that our coaching staff would need to complete in order to comply with NCAA-mandated roster limits*, there were far more unknowns than knowns, the biggest concerns being that we didn't know how many upperclassmen would be leaving for the NFL or how many players would be in the 2012 recruiting class. While I still have no idea how we're going to trim our roster to 84 by fall practice (we're voluntarily forfeiting one of the usual 85 as part of our self-imposed sanctions), those two questions have been - for the most part - answered.
NFL Draft
Though I write this with still a day and a half remaining for underclassmen to enter the NFL draft, I feel confident in saying that Devin Taylor, D.J. Swearinger, and DeVonte Holloman will honor their commitments to return for their senior seasons, leaving Alshon Jeffery and Stephon Gilmore as the only players leaving early for the NFL draft.
Players Transferring
Eric Baker (RB), Martay Mattox (CB), Corey Addison (SS) have decided to transfer out of the program. The latest word from Steve Spurrier was that he expected Kenny Miles to return for his senior season after strong showings in the Clemson and Nebraska games, but we'll see how the addition of the fifth-best running back prospect in the country affects those plans.
Doing the Math
We began the 2011 season with 85 players on scholarship (minus Stephen Garcia equals 84). 84 - 12 players exhausting eligibility - 2 leaving early for the NFL draft - 3 transferring = 67 players on scholarship or 17 free scholarships.
Between the three early enrollees (Brock Stadnik, OT; Clayton Stadnik, C; and Kelvin Rainey, H-Back) and the 21 players who have made verbal commitments to signe letters of intent with the Gamecocks, the 2012 recruiting class is sitting at 24. The coaching staff is pursuing four star WR Quinshad Davis as the final member of the class.**
Including the possibility that Kenny Miles decides to leave and that we add a 25th player to the 2012 recruiting class, we'll need to make room for anywhere between 6 and 8 players. Where will those scholarships come from? Some ideas:
- Kenny Miles may ultimately decide to leave the program.
- RB commit Kendric Salley is recovering from knee surgery and may end up grayshirting.
- DE commit Jhaustin Thomas is thought to have a difficult road ahead if he is going to qualify.
- Bruce Ellington could elect to play basketball only next season.
*On Saturday, NCAA board of directors voted against a proposal to reduce football scholarships from 85 to 80.
**South Carolina was his leader when the recruiting process began, but we didn't offer until late in the game because we weren't sure what would happen with Tyriq McCord and Elijah Shumate, who eventually decided to go elsewhere. At this point, it doesn't look like Quinshad will be able to make it for an official visit, but he's been on campus unofficially on a number of occasions.
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Bravo - I really love this series, Connor
Hoping Jhaustin can overcome his academic issues, but typically we lose 2-3 from each class to the j.c. each recruiting season, so I wonder if any of the other commits are on the academic bubble.
Quinshard is one of those guys it’s worth waiting for, but now that we’ve landed Davis, and have Roland, Smith and Fuller already in the hopper, he is a luxury.
I don’t know why I think it, but I feel convinced Bruce Ellington is not done on the gridiron.
Here's a health, Carolina, forever to thee! UNIVERSITAS CAROLIN MERID. 1801 Emollit mores nec sinit esse feros (Ovid)
Neither do, I re: Bruce.
If he’s looking to play sports professionally, you’ve gotta believe he’s got more potential as a football player. Precious few <6 footers make it in the NBA.
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by Gamecock'n'Balls on Jan 15, 2012 11:18 AM EST up reply actions
Hoping to hear your Tim Gunn voice on the podcast soon.
Dum spiro spero - "While I breathe, I hope"
State motto of South Carolina
by The Feathered Warrior on Jan 14, 2012 8:32 PM EST reply actions
Great Analysis
Thanks for taking the time to break this down. With Mike Davis in the fold it will be interesting to see what Miles will do.
What's the time frame for Miles?
Had a strong showing at the end of the season but he seems to get lost amongst the stable of RBs we have now (Carson was #2 to start the season if I remember correctly). Any word on him transferring to get more playing time?
Roster
Go Cocks!
I just wanted to say that it is not unusual for coaches to be very circumspect about players they think will elect to take the medical ‘I can’t play anymore’ scholarship. I half expected Baker to take that and graduate at USC. That allows the program to remove him from the list of scholarship players as he is officially off the roster, but keep their academic scholarship commitment to the player.
Also I think it is very likely in any class that you will have at least 2-3 that have to go prep school or Juco to become eligible players. In fact that is the norm is it not? So with the folks leaving early and those transferring, those that will not qualify and those that will voluntarily leave for whatever reason (which we never know about until after) the numbers appear to be right in line.
The big mystery is always the one or two guys that dissapear from the programa nd no official statement is made and then the question is asked and we hear, ‘they decided to quit the team for medical reasons or academic reason, etc’. I think Saban has taken a lot of flack for being none too shy about telling players that don’t cut it, ‘you will transfer or declare yourself medically unable to play’. I can understand, but it does seem a bit harsh.

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