FanPost

Missouri Game Review

This is the second in my series of posts where I plan to review South Carolina's games against its SEC foes and Clemson.

I'll cover each team's expected points and review the Gamecocks top and bottom five plays on offense and defense. I calculate expected points by reviewing the play by play data and comparing the outcome of each play to how many points it is historically worth. For example a one yard touchdown run is important, but not worth six points. The plays that got the team to the one yard line are more critical.

Recap

Missouri was lucky this game was as close as it was. If you watched the game and were wondering why the score seemed closer than what you were watching, it's because Missouri recovered six out of the seven fumbles during the game. As you may have read before, fumble recoveries are inherently random so recovering the majority of them during the game is a stroke of luck. Imagine if USC had recovered six out of seven, the final score would have been something like 52-3 instead of 31-10. That's how bad the score could have been.

South Carolina also came out with an excellent game plan on offense.

My first key question in my game preview was regarding how many explosive pass plays would the Gamecocks have. The basis for the question was that USC had shown a knack for hitting big plays against UAB and ECU, but had not been especially efficient in the passing game. Missouri's plan for the game was to play a cover two to limit long pass plays and thus force the Gamecocks to drive the field with an efficient passing game, something USC had not shown it was capable of until last week.

Spurrier and his coaching staff realized they had struggled passing the ball efficiently and that Missouri would have a game plan to take advantage of this. That's why you saw so many passing plays with short to medium options to the TEs and RBs, and Connor Shaw ran this plan to perfection.

Coach Ward also had a great plan on defense. For all of the talk being aggressive in the preseason, the Gamecocks have generally been smart on defense and let their awesome front four bring pressure on the opposing offense. Lorenzo Ward knew that blitzing Missouri is futile since they pass the ball so quickly. So he let his front four bring the pressure and kept everyone else back in coverage to prevent the 3 or 4 yard passes from becoming long gains.

Expected points

Dominating effort by the Gamecocks on both sides of the ball. You can see just how efficient the Gamecock's passing game was below.


Run

Pass

Special Teams

Total Points

South Carolina

8.7

18.9

2.7

30.4

Missouri

3.5

6.9

1.0

11.4

On average Missouri lost potential points when they ran plays on offense. Their rushing offense was particularly bad-no one has been able to run on USC yet this season.


Run

Pass

Special Teams

Average points gained per play

South Carolina

-0.11

0.45

1.18

0.11

Missouri

-0.22

-0.11

-0.13

-0.16

Top and bottom five plays on offense and defense are shown below. Sorry, no commentary this week because I've been quite busy and I can't find the video box scores on the www.secondemand.com site anymore. Anyone know what they did to them? It looks like the video is going behind a paywall soon.

Top five plays on offense

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

2

10:46

(1st and 10) Connor Shaw pass complete to Nick Jones for 36 yards to the MU1, 1ST DOWN SC.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

1

1:20

(1st and 10) Connor Shaw pass complete to Ace Sanders for 23 yards to the MU0, 1ST DOWN SC, TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

12:56

(3rd and 7) Connor Shaw pass complete to M. Lattimore for 24 yards to the MU41, 1ST DOWN SC, out-of-bounds (Gaines,E.J.).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

12:56

(1st and 15) Connor Shaw pass complete to Kenny Miles for 23 yards to the MU23, 1ST DOWN SC (Edwards,Kip).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

7:20

(3rd and 8) Connor Shaw pass complete to Rory Anderson for 13 yards to the MU0, 1ST DOWN SC, TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17.

Bottom five plays on offense

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

12:56

(2nd and 10) Kenny Miles rush for 8 yards to the MU15, fumble forced by Wilson,Andrew, fumble by Kenny Miles recovered by MU Edwards,Kip at MU15, Edwards,Kip for no gain to the MU15 (Corey Robinson).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

1

10:32

(2nd and 13) Connor Shaw pass complete to Damiere Byrd for 6 yards to the MU16, fumble forced by Richardson,She, fumble by Damiere Byrd recovered by MU Walker,Kenront at MU16.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

1

15:00

(3rd and 4) Connor Shaw pass incomplete to M. Lattimore, QB hurry by Richardson,She.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

1

10:32

(1st and 10) Connor Shaw sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MU22 (Wilson,Andrew;Richardson,She).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

7:20

(2nd and 2) Kenny Miles rush for no gain to the MU39 (Ealy,Kony;Bonner,Donovan).

Top five plays on defense

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

2

11:08

(2nd and 10) Hansbrough,Rus rush for 7 yards to the MU30, fumble forced by Reginald Bowens, fumble by Hansbrough,Rus recovered by SC Devin Taylor at MU37.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

2

10:14

(2nd and 5) Franklin, James rush for loss of 5 yards to the MU35, fumble by Franklin, James recovered by MU TEAM at MU35.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

1

13:10

(3rd and 9) Franklin, James sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MU5 (Chaz Sutton), fumble by Franklin, James recovered by MU Franklin, James at MU5.

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

12:56

(2nd and 9) Franklin, James sacked for loss of 6 yards to the MU20 (J. Clowney).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

9:34

(3rd and 9) Franklin, James sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MU13 (Aldrick Fordham;J. Clowney).

Bottom five plays on defense

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

2

6:02

(2nd and 10) Franklin, James pass complete to Lucas,Marcus for 23 yards to the SC3, 1ST DOWN MU (Shaq Wilson;Jimmy Legree).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

2

6:02

(1st and 10) Lawrence,Kendi rush for 28 yards to the SC37, 1ST DOWN MU (D. Holloman).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

4

4:45

(2nd and 5) Berkstresser,C pass complete to Hunt,Jimmie for 23 yards to the SC36, 1ST DOWN MU (Quin Smith).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

4

4:45

(2nd and 1) Hansbrough,Rus rush for 14 yards to the SC13, 1ST DOWN MU, out-of-bounds (Victor Hampton;Damario Jeffery).

Quarter

Drive Start Time

Play

3

2:17

(1st and 10) Franklin, James pass complete to Lucas,Marcus for 16 yards to the SC49, 1ST DOWN MU (D. Holloman).

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