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South Carolina bracketology (3/13): Gamecocks trending toward the cut line in Selection Sunday projections

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It's going to come down to the wire for the Gamecocks.

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Those pesky one seeds failing to win their conference tournaments have equaled several teams without at-large chances to get into the NCAA Tournament. That spells trouble for the South Carolina Gamecocks, as they're slowing being pushed toward the bottom of the bubble. Pre-selection show projections:

ESPN: Joe Lunardi's latest projection from last night had the Gamecocks as a Last Four In team, playing in the First Four in Dayton against San Diego State, a loser to Fresno State in the Mountain West final last night. The winner of that one would take on sixth-seeded Iowa in the main bracket in the Midwest region as an 11 seed, paired with third-seeded Utah and 14th-seeded Hawaii. However:

Fox Sports: Stewart Mandel has the Gamecocks in as a Last Four In along with Vanderbilt, Saint Mary's and Michigan, but that was even after docking SDSU and bumping them out of the field after their loss to Fresno State. The Gamecocks are projected to be in the 11/11 matchup with Michigan, with the winner moving on to take on sixth-seeded Texas in the Midwest region. That would pair them with (3) Xavier/(14) Green Bay.

SB Nation: Chris Dobbertean will be coming out with a new bracket later today, but it doesn't look good for the Gamecocks, who he has out by virtue of their bad losses and poor strength of schedule.

CBS Sports: Jerry Palm has the Gamecocks as a Next Four Out team along with Marquette, Virginia Tech and Hofstra.

USA Today: Shelby Mast from Bracket WAG also has the Gamecocks in First Four Out territory, along with Syracuse, San Diego State and Saint Mary's.

Interestingly enough, Lunardi did have SDSU in the field despite their loss, so Fresno State's win equaled a less-than-ideal situation for the Gamecocks in Mast and Dobbertean's eyes. However, Palm keeps the Aztecs in barring any other bubble teams sneaking in today, which could equal more trouble for the Gamecocks.

I did take a peek at the Bracket Matrix, an aggregate of all projections, and it has the Gamecocks hovering around 10 seed territory right now. But this will be a very long and uncomfortable wait for fans all the way up to when the entire field is shown around 6:30 or 7 tonight.