ESPN's Joe Lunardi updated his bracket after last night's college basketball action, and Carolina has dropped to a 10 seed in the South region. They're now matched up with the Atlantic 10's Dayton Flyers in the 7-10 matchup. Dayton and South Carolina are paired with second-seeded Michigan State and fifteenth-seeded Belmont, projected to get the Ohio Valley's sole bid by virtue of winning their conference tournament.
The Gamecocks have one regular season game left - against a suddenly-hot Arkansas tomorrow that has won its last four. The Razorbacks currently have an RPI of 112. A loss would not only slide the Gamecocks closer to the outside of the bracket, but would see them out of a top-four seed in the SEC Tournament. Carolina currently sits at fifth and must beat the Hogs, while getting some help, to get themselves a double-bye all the way to the quarterfinals. Otherwise, they may drop into a potential logjam in the middle of the league standings and be forced to play on Thursday - in a virtual must-win to keep their NCAA tournament hopes alive.